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Stop pretending there's a bloodless way out of the Ukraine crisis.
A rebuttal to those who believe that they can ✨manifest✨ an end to this war with good vibes and pure intentions.
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T M

November 2021

What does a gubernatorial election in Virginia tell us about the future of class politics?
is it time for liberals and leftists to revisit their fundamental assumptions about the much-vaunted "global realignment"?
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T M

July 2021

On the Batley and Spen by-election...
How did Labour hold on to a seat with *that* level of Galloway strength? I'm just as baffled as you are.
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T M

June 2021

What on earth happened in Peru?
The numbers behind a political earthquake.
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T M

May 2021

If the 2021 Holyrood election was a proxy independence referendum...
Where do "Yes" and "No" win?
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T M
How did my models hold up?
Vindication in some places, contrition in a few others.
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T M
Final Holyrood 2021 projections
Looking at the final call polls for the constituency vote (below), they average out at 48.7% for the SNP, 21.3% for the Tories, 20.6% for Labour and…
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T M
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April 2021

A new way of thinking about Holyrood projections
Behold, my latest creation of inspired madness...
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T M
The Road to 65, Part II - 8/4/21
Battleground seat profiles: Moray and Banffshire Here’s something to chew on. At the 2016 Holyrood election, the SNP won 46.5% of the popular vote, with…
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T M
April IPSOS poll - some quick observations
SNP support has ticked up slightly among women, and is flat among men. SNP support has jumped up a significant amount among the 25-34 age cohort: from…
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T M
The Road to 65 - Overview
What is the state of the electoral battleground right now?
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T M

February 2021

How has Salmondgate affected the polls so far?
And should we be concerned?
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T M
© 2024 Tejas Mukerji
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